Polling data released on Monday indicates that in five of six crucial battleground states, former President Trump leads Vice President Biden in hypothetical head-to-head general election matchups.
Monday’s release of polling indicates that former president Trump leads vice president Biden in hypothetical head-to-head general election matchups in five of six crucial battleground states.
According to polling conducted by The New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer between April 28 and May 9, Trump has a 44% lead over Biden among registered voters in Pennsylvania, 49% over 44% in Arizona, 49% over 42% in Michigan, 49% over 39% in Georgia, and 50% over 38% in Nevada.
Biden leads in Wisconsin, 47 percent to 45 percent, according to the polls, in the same hypothetical matchup.
In Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and Pennsylvania, the difference between the two candidates dwindles by a mere one to two percentage points, indicating that the outcomes among prospective voters are comparable. In contrast, Biden’s performance among prospective voters in Michigan improves by 5 percentage points, giving him a one-point lead over Trump (47 percent to 46 percent). In Wisconsin, Biden loses ground to Trump, who has a 46% advantage over Biden among likely voters.
The outcomes of the survey remain consistent when third-party and independent candidates are incorporated. In Arizona (42 percent to 33 percent to 10 percent), Georgia (39 percent to 31 percent to 9 percent), Michigan (38 percent to 36 percent to 9 percent), Nevada (41 percent to 27 percent to 12 percent), and Pennsylvania (40 percent to 36 percent to 10 percent), Trump maintains his lead over Biden.
In Wisconsin, where both Trump and Biden have 38 percent of the registered voter support, Kennedy receives only 9 percent of the vote.
Pollsters noted that the remaining third-party and independent candidates never receive more than 2 percent in any of the matchups.
Since the last Times/Siena College polls were conducted in October 2023, when Trump led Biden in all five states with the exception of Wisconsin, where Biden had more support, the results of the current polls have not changed significantly.
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